Adjusted Net Yards Per Passing Attempt Differential Stats Through Week 14

If you read my post on a regular basis you know of my fondness of the TOX stat and my new fascination with the Adjusted Net Yards Per Passing Attempt Differential Stat. Both are not new by any stretch, but neither are actively tracked. If you want to read up on the first post I did on ANYPPAD Stat I did in relation to teams making the playoffs and winning it all, just follow the link. Also here is the year to date of the stat last week as I will be tracking this for the remainder of the season.

Below is the year to date Adjusted Net Yards Per Passing Attempt Differential Stats for all 32 teams through week 14.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have broken past the 2.00 differential after their Thursday night game against the Cleveland Browns, but they remain in 3rd place overall. They made the move in differential by increasing their offensive number and decreasing their defensive number. Depending on the health of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger going forward, it will be interesting to see if they can reach the 3.00 differential number after the next 3 games. They play the San Francisco 49ers on Monday night and that will be their last true test of the regular season as the 49ers currently have a respectable 5.16 defensive ANYPPAD number, 6th best in the league. The 49ers offense is above average with a 6.07 offensive ANYPPAD number.

The Green Bay Packers overtaken the Houston Texans this past week for the number one spot after their blowout win against the Oakland Raiders. It was their defense however that helped lower their differential, not their offense as their gaudy offensive number actually dropped this past week from 9.47 to 9.28. Oh the horror! The New England Patriots also dropped a spot behind the Detroit Lions this week thanks to their pass defense that made the Washington Redskins look good. The Baltimore Ravens made a small jump as well this past week as they should have against the Indianapolis Colts.

Of the top 12 teams right now, I think at least 10 make the playoffs. The Denver Broncos are currently atop the AFC West and control their own destiny, or maybe it is Tim Tebow that controls it.

An interesting nugget on the Broncos and Tebow that I found doing a little research. Over the last 6 games with Tebow at the helm the Broncos have a 1.97 differential stat and that is thanks to play of both the quarterback and the pass defense. Tebow has a gross passing yards per attempt number of 7.20 with a 7.04 ANYPPAD in those last 6 games. He has just 1 interception during that stretch and their defense has kept them in every game as their defensive ANYPPAD has dropped greatly in those last 6 games. This combination mixed with some clutch kicks by Matt Prater, is why they are on 6 win streak. It is not all just Tebow.

The New York Giants versus Dallas Cowboys game in week 17 is setting up to be a great game and could set up a winner is in, the loser is out type situation depending on what the Lions and the Atlanta Falcons do going forward.