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Final 2011 Regular Season Adjusted Net Yards Per Passing Attempt Differential Stats

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The final Adjusted Net Yards Per Passing Attempt Differential Stats are now compiled for the 2011 NFL season and quite a reflective stat it has been this year. The top 10 teams in differential made the playoffs this year. The two stragglers are the Cincinnati Bengals, who finished 18th, and the Denver Broncos, who finished 28th.

The top 4 offensive teams using the stat headed into the playoffs are the Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots and the New Orleans Saints. The top 3 defenses for the season are also headed to the playoffs and they are the Houston Texans, Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens. No real surprises there.

Looking at the playoff teams on the AFC side, it would take a near miracle for the Denver Broncos to make it to the Super Bowl based on their differential stat, let alone win at. Only once in the last 9 seasons has that happened with a team having a negative differential in the regular season and it was the New York Giants back in 2007 that accomplished it. It should be noted that they did so with a much better quarterback than Tim Tebow. The Broncos are also have 1.12 worse differential than the Giants did that season.

Also over the last 9 seasons, the team with the lowest regular season differential score to win the Super Bowl, outside of the 2007 Giants, were the 2005 Steelers, who finished that regular season with a 1.92 differential. Only 4 teams head into the playoffs this year with a 1.90 differential stat or better and 3 of those 4 teams are in the AFC, with the other being the league leading Packers.

Based on the quarterback situation in Houston right now, you really have to think the Packers will face either the Patriots or the Steelers in the Super Bowl. The Steelers will have to fix their end of the year offensive production to get there, but their defense could carry their much better than average offense just the same. I will say that the recent injuries to their secondary will play a huge role going forward should they take care of the Broncos in the AFC wild card.

The most dangerous team on the NFC side could be the Giants. In my opinion they are the team that has the best shot at knocking off the Packers in the playoffs, but it will not be an easy task for sure.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were just plain awful on both sides of the ball this year and the Carolina Panthers put up the 11th best offensive ANYPPA stat this year with rookie quarterback Cam Newton under center. The Panthers need to just fix that defense of theirs that ranked 31st in ANYPPA. Another interesting fact is that San Francisco 49ers with first year head coach Jim Harbaugh beat his brother John Harbaugh of the Ravens in the stat.

Let the playoffs begin.

2011 SEASON PASS OFFENSE STATS PASS DEFENSE STATS DIFF
TEAM ATT COMP YDS TD INT SCK SYDS ANY/A ATT COMP YDS TD INT SCK SYDS ANY/A DIFF
GB 552 376 5161 51 8 41 237 9.42 637 390 4988 29 31 29 192 5.98 3.44
HOU 467 288 3696 20 9 33 190 7.00 538 279 3322 18 17 44 287 4.52 2.48
PIT 539 341 4333 21 15 42 279 6.54 530 289 2981 15 11 35 230 4.52 2.01
NE 612 402 5257 39 12 32 173 8.27 619 386 4977 26 23 40 274 6.36 1.91
NO 662 472 5505 46 14 24 158 8.22 626 362 4413 24 9 33 256 6.42 1.80
DET 666 423 5071 41 16 36 257 7.00 604 376 4102 26 21 41 271 5.28 1.72
NYG 589 359 4933 29 16 28 199 7.45 589 361 4417 28 20 48 335 5.87 1.57
SF 452 278 3199 18 5 44 263 6.19 579 333 3978 20 23 42 284 4.93 1.27
BAL 544 314 3629 21 12 33 206 5.72 535 288 3430 11 15 48 290 4.61 1.12
ATL 594 365 4365 29 13 26 173 6.75 560 340 4017 25 19 33 231 5.79 0.97
DAL 570 376 4453 33 12 39 252 7.10 545 336 4149 24 15 42 243 6.32 0.77
TEN 584 353 4113 22 14 24 190 6.14 591 369 3809 21 11 28 180 5.74 0.40
NYJ 547 310 3542 26 18 40 245 5.12 507 275 3414 15 19 35 198 4.91 0.21
PHI 554 330 4276 22 25 32 166 5.84 518 301 3713 27 15 50 316 5.74 0.10
OAK 524 315 4119 20 23 25 157 6.06 601 324 4262 31 18 39 239 5.99 0.07
SD 582 366 4624 27 20 30 198 6.64 478 299 3778 29 17 32 187 6.68 -0.03
SEA 509 299 3444 15 14 50 340 4.96 543 324 3750 18 22 33 232 5.01 -0.05
CIN 535 308 3507 21 14 25 167 5.59 539 319 3662 21 10 45 277 5.74 -0.16
MIA 469 280 3425 20 13 52 334 5.58 590 350 4233 24 16 41 241 5.95 -0.37
CHI 473 268 3346 18 20 49 335 4.73 631 383 4273 22 20 33 208 5.43 -0.70
ARI 550 307 3954 21 23 54 387 4.89 578 340 4000 17 10 42 304 5.78 -0.90
KC 500 299 3288 13 18 34 208 4.74 454 257 3407 23 20 29 186 5.76 -1.02
CLE 570 320 3300 16 13 39 210 4.64 469 265 3158 16 9 32 199 5.74 -1.10
CAR 519 312 4089 21 17 35 260 6.29 490 318 4119 28 14 31 170 7.45 -1.16
BUF 578 356 3857 24 25 23 154 5.09 507 321 3924 30 20 29 210 6.37 -1.28
WAS 591 346 4058 19 24 41 285 4.86 509 308 3804 22 13 41 251 6.20 -1.33
STL 549 292 3258 9 10 55 388 4.30 485 294 3568 21 12 39 261 6.08 -1.78
DEN 429 217 2708 20 13 42 274 4.77 534 333 3987 24 9 41 283 6.57 -1.80
JAC 469 240 2510 12 15 44 331 3.40 513 326 3554 21 17 31 213 5.51 -2.11
IND 534 302 3223 14 14 35 228 4.65 493 351 3824 25 8 29 192 7.23 -2.58
MIN 510 286 3255 20 17 49 298 4.64 538 367 4361 34 8 50 342 7.38 -2.74
TB 588 365 3838 17 24 32 188 4.69 481 301 3962 30 14 23 148 7.51 -2.81
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