Categorized | 2013 Draft, Article, News, Prediction

Betting Website Has An Interesting Prop Number For Steelers Rookie LB Jarvis Jones


On Monday, we passed along the updated odds from Bovada of every team possibly winning Super Bowl XLVIII and today the sports betting website has released some individual player prop over/unders in addition, with one Pittsburgh Steelers rookie really having an eye popping number.

According to the website, Steelers first-round draft pick, linebacker Jarvis Jones, has an over/under number of 8.5 total sacks for his rookie season.

Considering that a Steelers defensive rookie hasn\’t opened the season as starter since linebacker Kendrell Bell did it in 2001, that is a pretty high over/under number for Jones, in my opinion. Bell, by the way, finished his rookie season with nine sacks, and not only did he win the Defensive Rookie of the Year award, he was also selected to the Pro Bowl.

Jones wouldn\’t have to necessarily be the Week 1 starter at right outside linebacker in order to hit 8.5 sacks, but one would figure that he would have to overtake fourth-year linebacker Jason Worilds, who is currently expected to start the season outside now that his predecessor James Harrison has been jettisoned, fairly quickly in order to have a shot at nine sacks.

Let\’s put it this way. I am all for Jones hitting that number, but sitting here just a few days removed from the 2013 NFL draft, I would be inclined to bet the under right now.

For comparison purposes, Cleveland Browns first-round draft pick, outside linebacker, Barkevious Mingo and Detroit Lions first-round draft pick, defensive end Ziggy Ansah, both have sack over/under props of 3 and 4.5 respectively.

It will be worth checking on how all of these numbers move throughout the offseason, but I found this worthy of passing on to you.

So, which way would you bet right now?

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About Dave Bryan

I am, I'm me. 40 something, retired and a life long Steelers fan.
  • steeltown

    The only way that this is possible, is if Worilds or Woodley start the season injured.. and lets hope that doesnt happen. I for one, want to see what Worilds can do as a full time starter

  • http://www.facebook.com/mike.don.961 Mike Don

    bell maybe 2001?

  • walter mason

    Thats a good possibility.

  • nikgreene

    Bell starting his rookie year in 1991 was all the more impressive because he was only 11 years old.

  • walter mason

    I would take the under bet considering Woodley only had 4 sacks his rookie season which BTW is the exact number of sacks he had last year. Woodley and Worilds both may have injury issues which need to be considered..

  • SteelersDepot

    ooops my 1991 stats study I am working on bled over into this post. Obviously meant 2001.

  • Jason Brant

    Kid was an animal.

  • strummerfan

    I would take the under 7 days a week and twice on Sunday.

  • r4kolb

    I’d bet the under but only because he would have to have a beast of a year. Worilds is only an average linebacker so I do see Jarvis should he be able to learn
    the system moving into that position. Also we all know since Wood got the big contract he’s out of shape and lazy. Just a matter of time unil he again pulls a hammy.

  • http://twitter.com/softdrums Shea Fahr

    After watching a couple Rookie QBs make it deep into the playoffs and one to the Super Bowl last season, nothing would surprise me in this League anymore.

  • NW86

    Wow! The under for sure one that one, I’m not sure what they’re thinking. Jones will get rotated in a little, but my guess is that he doesn’t start a game this year until either Woodley or Worilds get hurt.

  • hergieburbur

    Haha, I was just reminded in another article about the Jags GM last year defending taking a punter in the 3rd by saying “Show me another guy that would have an impact at this point” least year. 5 picks later the Seahawks took Wilson…

  • zyzak

    Tomlin will release this puppy early. Worilds is toast

  • http://twitter.com/softdrums Shea Fahr

    And Wilson combined with their Tough Defense got them 2 games shy of the SB…like I said, ya never know in this league anymore.

  • Bob Loblaw

    Probably why he didn’t last too long in the NFL

  • Steelersguru

    For comparison whats the betting line on Worilds sacks this year?

    And Hood and Foote while at it.

    Sounds like knocking the one guy who hasnt even been in the NFL yet. Too early to set Jarvis Jones up to fail. So Landry after 1 year in NFL will be as good enough to forget franchise QB Ben, but hang numbers over JJ’s head for JJ’s first year. Now i understand.

  • Nolrog

    Does seem like the safe bet.

  • RW

    I agree, but everywhere (NFL[dot]com, ESPN) lists Jones as a day 1 starter, and they seem pretty sure about it. Of course Tomlin has said Jones will need to earn it, but he did leave the possibility open. I’d like to see Worilds as the starter, but we’ll see what happens. Tomlin may have a surprise up his sleeve in the form of Worilds working at ILB if Jones proves he can play well. Worilds does have the speed (4.49) to be effective in coverage. I don’t know how well he’d take on a pulling guard/fullback, but he seems to have the bulk to be able to do so. Just not sure he really projects as an ILB as I do not know whether he can capably call a defense.

  • Steelersguru

    Whats the over-under line on Worilds sacks this year then? Impossible to make a line on Worilds sack total. All we know is JJ is not supposed to be a starter this year.

  • http://www.facebook.com/adam.altieri.14 Adam Altieri

    I agree this is a very high number. Our leader in sacks last year was Worilds with 4.5, granted he didn’t start every game, but that is still a low number for the Steelers leading sacker. I’ll give Woodley a pass last season bc of his injury and he was asked to drop back in coverage a lot more than usual, bc of the secondary injuries. I’d be surprised if Jarvis reached 8.5 in his rookie season, although I believe he will be a nice contributor. If Woodley is not leading our team in sacks next season the Steelers have to think long and hard about his future in Pittsburgh.

  • http://twitter.com/AndrettiJETS Andretti JETS

    Here’s the logic… You have this blue chip prospect. If you, as coaches, cannot design ONE play with a hit rate of every other week to get a sack, then you’re doing something wrong.

  • RMSteeler

    Not a betting guy, but I can’t wait to see this: JJ and Troy on the same side in a passing down with the weak side CB and other S in press coverage. MClendon and JJ get double teamed, Woodley fakes an inside blitz, then drops into coverage, and the “Shark” blitzes from the weak side. I “bet” that would be fun to watch!

  • TheBlitz

    Under 8.5

    I have him at 5 sacks max and that’s only if he gets significant playing time – meaning Worilds or Woodley are out due to injury or Worilds really can’t do the job. This is not college football. This is the NFL. And the kid is a rookie.

    But he will get a lot of opportunities to play and showcase his talent. I hope he exceeds expectations like Pouncey!

  • westcoasteeler

    Best case scenario…
    Take the under, as rookies have to earn their place in the Lebeau defense and boom…you’ve got some duckets to buy some Steeler gear, I’m hoping Shark Thomas not only likes his nickname) but gets a good number!!
    …..OR
    Our nasty new young killer sack machine is gonna pick us up on his STRONG back and carry us to our #7… who cares about that bet you placed last year.

  • SteelSpine

    I agree. Odd since Jarvis not expected to start in this rookie year.
    I think the oddsmaker is betting that the total number of games which either Worlids or Woodley will miss due to injured, is a significant total. I agree unfortunately odds are that will total be a significant number of games. Even with that I’d still bet the under for any rookie LB’s 1st year.

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