2013 NFL Week 1 TOX Stats

As usual, I will once again be tracking the TOX stats throughout the 2013 NFL season. This is simple stat, but its 80% win track record is hard to ignore.

In case you need a refresher, the TOX stat is a measure of how many explosive plays (20-plus yards) teams create minus how many they give up. It also includes turnovers forced versus those given up in a game. Both are added together in each and every game and the differential is the final TOX number for that game.

This stat has stood the test of time as teams that come out of a game with a plus two or better TOX number generally win 80% of the time.

In week one of the 2013 season, teams that had a plus two or better TOX number combined to go 10-0 (100%) for the week.

The San Francisco 49ers led the way this week with a plus six TOX number.

The Pittsburgh Steelers finished week one with an even TOX number of zero. Head coach Mike Tomlin said Tuesday during his press conference that the team needed another explosion play or two in order to be in the game Sunday and history suggest that he is right.

On the flip-side, had running back Isaac Redman not turned the football over on the Tennessee Titans goal-line, the offense likely comes away with points there and the Steelers then presumably would have only needed just one more explosive play or forced turnover to win the game. Dealing with ifs and butts is ludicrous though. The fact is that they didn’t.

If this stat is not your cup of tea, feel free to just skip it every week.

If you find any mistakes, please let me know in the comments.

WEEK 1OFFENSEDEFENSEDIFFOFFENSEDEFENSEDIFFTOXW/L
TEAMP 20+R 20+P 20+R 20+DIFF 20+INTFUMINTFUMTO DIFFTOXW/L
SF81504001126W
PHI42204022115W
NE330151202-14W
DEN90603022003W
HOU50203101003W
KC20101002023W
SEA40112010213W
CHI30300102122W
DAL3060-3103352W
NO50311101112W
DET5051-1113121W
IND3022-1002021W
NYJ41401111101W
MIA3050-2103020W
STL20200111100W
TEN1030-2001120W
ARI20200111100L
CLE503023010-20L
PIT301021100-20L
MIN515013111-2-1L
OAK223012000-2-1L
TB4041-111110-1L
ATL3150-11110-1-2L
CIN303002110-2-2L
NYG603033310-5-2L
BAL6090-320020-3L
CAR1140-20201-1-3L
JAC1020-12000-2-3L
SD2050-310100-3L
BUF0133-502121-4L
WAS2042-42102-1-5L
GB5081-41100-2-6L

I am, I'm me. 40 something, retired and a life long Steelers fan.
  • Garrett Hunt

    Should I “fell free” to let you know you made a mistake?

  • falconsaftey43

    Stop trolling. A lot of people really appreciate all the work Dave does in tracking everything about the Steelers. He’s just presenting info he’s collected, if you don’t care about it don’t read it. But please, “feel free” to be a jerk Garrett.

  • Garrett Hunt

    You sir are being the jerk. I meant it as a joke as he misspelled feel free. Does not mean I do not appreciate his work as well. I have posted many comments saying nice article and really enjoy reading them.

  • Bell Cow

    I’ve always liked this statistic. Pittsburgh definitely needs to be more opportunistic on both sides of the ball.

  • T R

    what is trolling

  • natty

    i had been meaning to ask last season; but why not factor kick/punt returns into the equation? obviously a unique(to returns) standard yard # would have to be established. Would be interesting to see what that did to TOX numbers